Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 10th-best in the league as the visting team with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 17th percentile for three-point efficiency with a subpar 24.5% rate this year.
In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 104.7 points per game while playing away from home rates 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Spurs are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Keldon Johnson figures to experience a decrease in output across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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