Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.2 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
The 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
The Jazz have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 21st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a weak 26.6% rate this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Keldon Johnson has missed 1.0 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 more than he's missed in all games this year.
Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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