Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 9:54 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has accumulated a measly 1.4 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.2 fouls per game last season.
With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson has converted 95.2% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 21.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Keldon Johnson figures to see an increase in output for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 32.6% mark, Keldon Johnson's 3-point proficiency has dropped this season to 23.5%.
The Spurs rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.

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