Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Spurs have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson has attempted 3.1 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

The Spurs check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Rockets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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