Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 7th-best in in the league while on their home court with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Keldon Johnson will likely get a boost in performance in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 17.7 mark, Keldon Johnson's shots have declined this season to 12.6 per game.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the most sluggish pace team in the league this year (the Knicks).

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