Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has converted 2.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has attempted a measly 12.7 shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 17.7 rate last season.
As it relates to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's subpar 112.0 points per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted a measly 3.2 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.2 mark last season.

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