Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase plays for the Spurs.
The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has attempted a mere 12.9 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 17.7 mark last season.
The Spurs rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.
In comparison to last year's 3.9 mark, Keldon Johnson's free throws hit have declined this year to 2.5 per game.
Keldon Johnson is expected to see a decline in output across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

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