Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (106.4).
The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 17.7 clip, Keldon Johnson's shots have declined this season to 12.8 per game.
Relative to last year's 6.5 clip, Keldon Johnson's shot attempts from downtown have fallen this year to 5.0 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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