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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has averaged 29.0 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Spurs.

The Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing teams have come down with 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 17.7 rate, Keldon Johnson's shots taken have regressed this season to 13.1 per game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This matchup is a positive one for threes; their opposition has compiled the highest three rate in the NBA this year (39.4%).

This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a massive 27.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

More Keldon Johnson Player Props

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