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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has averaged 29.4 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The 3rd-fastest pace road team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
  • This matchup is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a measly 18.2 free throws per game when the Raptors are playing at home this year (least in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In comparison to last year's 17.7 rate, Keldon Johnson's shots taken have fallen this year to 13.2 per game.
  • Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 5.2 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 6.5 mark last season.
  • Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
  • The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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