Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 13.4 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.2 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.6 minutes per game this year.
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted just 3.6 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 5.2 rate last year.
This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 24.8 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the league).

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