Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 13.4 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league as the home team over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
The most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
This year when they are at home, the other team has grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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