Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson ranks in the 85th percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 13.4 per game this year.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Spurs have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, their opposition has put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.5%).
The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the league with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Trail Blazers are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 25.3 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

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