Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 1:47 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 13.5 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 45.2% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a difficult matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have attempted 26.8 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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