Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson slots into the 84th percentile, totaling a massive 17.5 points per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson rates in the 85th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.5 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson places in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.2 minutes per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 18 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 22.4 free throws per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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