Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson slots into the 83rd percentile for field goal attempts while on the road, compiling 12.9 per game this year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Spurs rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
The fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games, the other team has notched 129.5 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive production.
The Spurs check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a whopping 27.3 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league).
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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