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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has played 31.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have snagged 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 8.0 clip, Keldon Johnson's shots hit have dropped this season to 6.4 per game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson registers in the 83rd percentile (high is bad, in this case) for missed three-point shots when playing on the road, putting up a massive 3.4 per game this year.

This matchup is a favorable one for field goals; when the Trail Blazers are at home, opposing teams have put up the 2nd-highest field goal rate in the league against them this year (50.6%).

The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

More Keldon Johnson Player Props

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