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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has made a measly 6.4 field goals per game this year, quite a bit less than his 8.0 mark last year.

Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 5.4 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.5 rate last year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 9 games in their home stadium, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.

The Spurs have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Playing at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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