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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

With respect to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has made just 6.4 buckets per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.0 rate last season.

Keldon Johnson has converted 23.2% of his 3-pointers away from his home court this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 11.5 shot attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, making this a difficult matchup.

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

The Spurs have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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