Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:48 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has made 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 12.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.5).
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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