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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has converted a terrific 7.2 buckets per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.7 rate last year.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.6 treys per game this year, a significant increase from his 6.8 rate last year.

Keldon Johnson has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Los Angeles Lakers are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing at home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs rank 9thworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has captured 11.2 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Lakers (retaining possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

Keldon Johnson has attempted just 3.2 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.2 mark last season.

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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