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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.1 minutes per game while on the road this year.

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 17.7 rate, Keldon Johnson's shots from the field have decreased this year to 13.5 per game.

Compared to last season's 28.0% rate, Keldon Johnson's 3-point performance has fallen this season to 24.8%.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Pelicans are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (9.6).

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

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