Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 8.7 rate, Keldon Johnson's shots from the field converted have risen this year to 7.5 per game.
In comparison to last year's 2.3 rate, Keldon Johnson's three-point shots hit have spiked this year to 2.5 per game.
In contrast to last season's 33.0 clip, Keldon Johnson's playing time has increased this season to 33.9 minutes per game.
The Spurs rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league without the home court advantage this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have shot 45.6% on field goal attempts (6th-worst in the league) against the Clippers, marking this as a challenging matchup.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 26.8% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Clippers, making this a tough matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.9 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers (maintaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).
In contrast to last season's 5.2 rate, Keldon Johnson's number of foul shot attempts has tailed off this season to 2.6 foul shot attempts per game.