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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 8.7 mark, Keldon Johnson's shots drained have increased this season to 7.3 per game.

Keldon Johnson has missed 3.5 attempts from downtown per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.3 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have shot 45.8% on field goal attempts (7th-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, designating this as a difficult matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 26.8% on 3-pointers (15th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, designating this as a tough matchup.

The Spurs are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year (the Clippers).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The LA Clippers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.2 rate last season.

More Keldon Johnson Player Props

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