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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has made an impressive 7.2 baskets per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.7 mark last season.

Compared to last season's 4.3 rate, Keldon Johnson's missed three-pointers have decreased this season to 3.6 per game.

The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road in regard to three-point attempts.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league while on the road this year.

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.0 fouls per game last year.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (11.7).

The Spurs have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last year's 5.2 clip, Keldon Johnson's number of free throws has fallen this year to 2.5 free throws per game.

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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