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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has sunk an impressive 7.2 baskets per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.7 mark last season.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 2.2 threes per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Kings, marking this as a positive matchup.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the road team this year.

While at home, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 5.1 three-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 6.5 mark last season.

Keldon Johnson has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.0 fouls per game last year.

The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Kings).

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson has attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.2 mark last year.

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