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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson registers in the 86th percentile for shots from the field, logging 13.5 per game this year.

Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.5).

The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Spurs.

Keldon Johnson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 6.5 rate, Keldon Johnson's three-point attempts have fallen this year to 4.8 per game.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 8thworst in in the league while playing away from home with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last season's 5.2 mark, Keldon Johnson's number of foul shots has tailed off this season to 2.5 foul shots per game.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted 25.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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