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Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 28.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.The 6th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Spurs.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 10thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.With the home court advantage, the Knicks have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).Keldon Johnson has successfully made 88.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.1% more than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Keldon Johnson has sunk a measly 27.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit lower than his 28.0 rate last year.Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game playing at home this year.Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 28.0% on 3-pointers (12th-worst in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, labeling this as a hard matchup.The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.When it comes to drawing fouls, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 21.1 free throws per game settles in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
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