Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 6:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots from the field while at home, putting up 17.4 per game since the start of last season.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a strong one; when the Toronto Raptors are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (17.7).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.

Favors Under

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 21.1 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season.

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