Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson lands in the 90th percentile, totaling an enormous 20.5 points per game since the start of last season.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.4 three-point shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.2 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Spurs's unimpressive 110.4 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 6th-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 29.8% on 3-pointers (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, designating this as a hard matchup.
The matchup against Phoenix is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Phoenix Suns are at home (12th-least in the league).
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production across the board.

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