Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:06 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-113/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league at home this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.2).
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.

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