Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.0).
The matchup vs. Denver may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are away from home (7th-least in the league).

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