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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.0).

The matchup vs. Denver may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are away from home (7th-least in the league).

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