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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
  • The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
  • The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keldon Johnson has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
  • The matchup against Houston is a tough one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (13.2).
  • The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been bad at getting to the foul line while playing on the road: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 19.1 foul shot attempts per game.
  • The matchup vs. Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Rockets are at home (13th-least in the NBA).

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