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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.6 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (13.8).

The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.

As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been bad at getting to the free throw line without the home court advantage: worst in the NBA this year with just 19.1 foul shots per game.

The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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