Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.6 treys per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.7).
The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Spurs.
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been bad at getting to the free throw line when playing on the road: worst in the league this year with a lowly 19.1 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (9th-least in the league).