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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.4 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 13.6 rate last season.
  • Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.3 rate last year.
  • Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Dennis Smith Jr. is a strong one for shots from the field; when Smith Jr. is at home fellow starting SGs this year, they have made a monstrous 50.3% of their field goals (100th percentile).
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on the road.
  • The matchup against Dennis Smith Jr. is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Smith Jr. is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.2 free throws per game (8th percentile).
  • Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production across the board.

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