Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has scored a whopping 21.8 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 17.0 points per game last year.
Keldon Johnson has sunk 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year without the home court advantage.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup vs. Isaac Okoro is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 16.2 points per game at home when guarding opposing starting SFs this year (76th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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