Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.6 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 13.6 mark last season.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.3 rate last season.
Keldon Johnson has played 30.9 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. Scottie Barnes is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when facing opposing starting SFs this year, they have finished with a measly 2.2 threes per game (100th percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Spurs.
The matchup against Scottie Barnes is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.9 free throws per game (93rd percentile).

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