Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has made 10.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Bulls have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Spurs.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the other team have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Bulls have the home court advantage (40.3).
The matchup against the Bulls is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (42.3%).

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