Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 22.8 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.0 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 8.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.1 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.1 rate last season.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Kings is a difficult one; they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (117.9).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (4th-least in the league).

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