Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Keldon Johnson has converted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Wizards have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a difficult one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (15.3).
The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 3.0 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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