Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.0 treys per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.3 rate last year.
Keldon Johnson has successfully made 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Suns have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games away from their home court (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Suns may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.8 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road (3rd-least in the NBA).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.

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