Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 17.5 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.6 mark last year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 30.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- [PUTTING_HIM_AMONG_THE_MOST_UTILIZED_PLAYERS] [IN_THE_LEAGUE].
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been poor at getting to the free throw line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 21.0 free throws per game.
Keldon Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance across the board.

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