Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 25.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.3 rate last season.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 33.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.3 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the league).
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one; away from home they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing clubs this year (118.4).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for 3-pointers; without the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 10th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).

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