Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have averaged 10.3 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 6.5 clip, Keldon Johnson's shot attempts from downtown have fallen this year to 5.0 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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