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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has averaged 29.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one for 3-pointers; their opposition has tallied the 9th-least threes per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (11.6).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has attempted a measly 5.1 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.5 rate last year.

Keldon Johnson has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (79th percentile).

The Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson stands to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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