Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 2.3 clip, Keldon Johnson's threes made have surged this season to 2.8 per game.
Keldon Johnson has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Lakers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.5).
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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