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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 6.8 rate, Keldon Johnson's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 6.6 per game.

Keldon Johnson has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 1.0 threes per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a hard matchup.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, their opposition has captured 12.1 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (lengthening possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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