Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 4.3 rate, Keldon Johnson's missed three-pointers have decreased this season to 3.6 per game.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road in regard to three-point attempts.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league while on the road this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.0 fouls per game last year.
The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 9th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.6).
The Spurs have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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