Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court in regard to three-point attempts.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has attempted a mere 5.1 three-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 6.5 rate last season.
In contrast to last year's 2.0 mark, Keldon Johnson's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.9.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.2 3-pointers per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have grabbed 14.7 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Thunder (lengthening possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).

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